Phenix City, Alabama 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

162
FXUS64 KBMX 141744
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1244 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2026

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1242 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2026

- Strong to Severe Storms: There is a slight risk (Level 2 of 5)
  for severe storms across northern central Alabama this afternoon
  and evening. Damaging winds are the primary concern.

- Heavy Rainfall: A wet pattern begins with periods of heavy
  rainfall expected at times across Central Alabama. Rainfall
  totals of 3 to 7 inches are forecast over the entirety of next
  week, with localized higher amounts possible.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(This afternoon through Saturday)
Issued at 1242 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2026

Our wet period begins to take shape today as a shortwave
currently across the Plains helps drive another cold front our
way. The surface boundary will push into the area this evening,
eventually stalling across the central half of the state through
mid week. Ahead of this front, a line of showers and storms
guided by a H85-H7 shortwave, will move across our northern tier
of counties through the afternoon and evening hours. Main threats
with this activity will be gusty winds and heavy rain, especially
with any stronger storms that develop. There is currently a
Slight Risk (Level 2 of 5) for severe storms across our northern
counties to account for this.

Medium to high chances for showers and storms shift across the
southern half of the state through the week as a few passing
H5 shortwaves interact with the lingering boundary. Deep tropical
moisture in place will lead to periods of heavy rainfall at
times. This boundary fizzles out by mid week providing a very
brief lull in activity. By the end of the work week, another
front moves into the region. We will need to keep a very close
eye on this setup as a tropical wave moves out of the northwest
Gulf and into the southeast, eventually colliding with this
boundary. This has the potential to be a significant rainfall
producer across Central Alabama. The latest QPF has increased
slightly from last night`s update, about 2-4 inches across our
northern areas and 4-7 for southern counties. We will be
monitoring the trends over the next few days.

95/Castillo

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1242 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2026

VFR conditions are currently in place across all terminals.
Westerly winds have increased through the morning hours and will
remain elevated through this evening with gusts around 20 knots
likely. Isolated to scattered convection is expected this
afternoon. Due to the more isolated nature, opted to continue
with the PROB30 mentions. MVFR/IFR ceilings are likely to develop
early Monday morning ahead of an approaching front. BHM/EET/TCL
return to VFR through the morning with MGM/AUO keeping MVFR
ceilings through the remainder of this TAF cycle. There is a low
chance that the northern terminals keep MVFR through the morning
hours but have leaned towards the latest HREF probabilities with
this update. Showers and storms return through the morning
tomorrow with the greatest chances at MGM and AUO.

95/Castillo

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Rain chances increase through the day and continue into early
next week as a front slowly moves across the region. Ample
moisture in place will keep MinRH values above 40% through the
entire forecast period. Elevated fire weather concerns are not
expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     68  81  63  82 /  50  20  40  20
Anniston    70  81  65  80 /  60  30  40  50
Birmingham  70  81  66  82 /  50  30  50  40
Tuscaloosa  72  82  68  82 /  30  60  60  50
Calera      71  83  67  82 /  40  60  60  60
Auburn      73  85  69  78 /  40  60  70  90
Montgomery  73  84  69  79 /  30  80  90  90
Troy        74  86  69  78 /  20  90  80  90

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...95/Castillo
AVIATION...95/Castillo